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Benchmarking time-series foundation models (Chronos-Bolt, zero-shot) vs. supervised (PatchTST) and classical (seasonal-naive, Croston) baselines on the M5 Walmart dataset, scored with MASE and WQL. No single model dominates: foundation/deep models win on dense SKUs, classical methods win on the intermittent tail.
Tokenization Matters: A Fair Ablation of Point-wise, and Variate-wise Transformers for Financial Time Series. (includes PatchTST, iTransformer, Crossformer, Autoformer, Fedformer, Informer, TimeNet, and non-stationarity extensions.
Heuristics-free self-supervised representation learning for time series with SIGReg (LeJEPA). Disentangles time-axis collapse, positional structure, and representation richness across PatchTST, TCN, and bag-of-patches encoders. Reproducible, seeded, significance-tested.
Disease Forecasting in a Tropical Context: A Comparative Evaluation of Model Performance and Generalizability for Dengue Fever and Influenza in Vietnam